TS Jose and What Will TD10 finally do?

Today the tropics went from quiet to semi-busy. TD11 formed this morning and by the time a recon jet investigated the system this afternoon it was a tropical storm, Jose was born. This will pose no threat to the US.

TD10, which could not get its act together last week may be taking on some tropical characteristics. An upper low north of the broad area is triggering thunderstorms and we could see some development in the next 24 hours according to the NHC.

The most interesting thing about this system is what the GFDL forecasted tonight. Below is the model output map from the SFWMD.

Here we see the system snaking through the Bahamas and across south Florida. According to the SHIPS intensity model in 72 hours max winds are 72mph.

We will see how the models handle the situation overnight and see if the system becomes better organized.

South Florida please stay informed.

There is also another area of disturbed weather in the far eastern Atlantic. I will keep you posted on that one as well.

Stay tuned and have a good night.