Rita to affect South Florida

Though there has been no sudden NW turn there is some concern that Rita
may jog a little more to the north. If this were to happen there would
be a greater rain/wind impact on Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade
counties.

It looks as if there will be some changes to the watches and warning to
SE Florida at 11am. I urge everyone to check back then for an update.

The latest models are currently running so we have to wait a little
while for the new outputs. Stay tuned.
--howpomp

Rita and south Florida

A tropical storm warning and hurricane watch are now in effect from Deerfield Beach south as of 11PM. At 5am tomorrow morning we may see some further adjustments in the watches and warnings depending on if Rita continues or the center forms with any additional northerly component.

Briefly, Miami has a 27% chance and West Palm Beach a 23% chance, both values are higher than this morning.

Please keep advised of this storm and be prepared for the 5AM advisory.

Getting some sleep now while I can,
Howard

South Florida must watch TD18!

TD18 was announced at 11pm tonight. The forecast brings the system into
the Florida Straights Tuesday as a catagory 1 hurricane.

Currently Miami has a 21% chance and West Palm Beach 20% of the center
passing within 65 miles of those locations.

If watches and/or warnings were to be issued for south Florida we should
see them later on Sunday. All residents must monitor this tropical
system.
--howpomp

TD17 and maybe 18

TD17 formed this morning and #18 may form later tonight or Sunday. #18
could impact south Florida's weather whether it developes into a closed
system or not. More info to follow.

--howpomp

Td16 forms

TD16 has formed off the coast of SE Florida.
--howpomp

Possible Depression forming off SE Florida

The low that has formed off the coast of Miami could become a depression tomorrow or Tuesday according to the NHC. The system is slowly becoming better organized as the low moves very little.

The available model guidence shows the system moving towards the NW then in five days just off the coast of Tampa, or in the NE Gulf of Mexico, or over southern Alabama or turning the other way out in the Atlantic. All of these solution are possible so the system will be closely watched. At this time the models are not aggressive about the system becoming very strong.

Check back in the morning for the latest.

Good night.

1010mb Low off SE Florida

A 1010 low has been identified off the coast of southeast Florida. NHC should have a mention of this in the 10:30pm Tropical Weather Outlook. Will wait to see what they have to say.

At this time models seem to want to move this system very slowly NW then north. More details will be here shortly.

TD Lee and TD14

Yes, they are out there and both appear to pose no threat.

Still waiting on current model data for this weekend's weather
activity.
--howpomp