Moving Day!

Today is the day we move out of the apartment we have lived in for 8+
years and into house. The move is less than 5 miles but we will be
making quite a few trips back and forth.

The updates to the main page will be delayed until the DSL is up and
running which Bellsouth said would be sometime next week. In the
meantime the Sidekick II will be my internet portal. Feel free to
email.

The tropics are somewhat busy with the second named stormed Bret. This
will be a short-lived cyclone but enough to give us a busy June.

Further updates later.
--howpomp

It's a ...

For those of you who know that we are pregnant we have found out what we
are going to have. Officially we are having a girl!

A month ago we were told a boy, now that has changed.
--howpomp

Tsunami Warning for west coast of US

There has been an earthquake off the coast of Oregon and this has triggered a Tsunami Warning. The quake has a preliminar magnitude of 7.4. Updates can be found at:

WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV
http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov

Arlene almost a hurricane

With the 11PM advisory Arlene is poised to strike the central Gulf coast as a minimal hurricane. The system is becoming better organized as it moves north. With warm SSTs and minimal shear Arlene will become a hurricane in the morning.

Actually a Hurricane Warning has just been issued from Destin, Florida west to Mississippi. According to my analysis Arlene should be a 80MPH (catagory 1) hurricane at landfall.

Check back tomorrow.

First US Tropical Warning

The first 2005 US Tropical warning was issue today. Dry Totugus is currently under a Tropical Storm Warning. Other watches and/or warnings will be issued tomorrow for locations along the Gulf coast.

I am currently working on the tropical section of the web site so it should be ready for the rest of the season. If there are any suggestions please email me.

TD1 now TS Arlene

At 8am the NHC upgraded TD1 to TS Arlene with a special advisory. No
change in forecast philosophy. Miami and West Palm are off the
probability table.
--howpomp

TD1 Forms

It is a depression, western Cuba is under a tropical storm watch. Next
advisory at 8pm.
--howpomp

Possible depression later today

Overnight the system in the Caribbean has become a little better
organized and a depression could form in the next 24 hours.
--howpomp

Watching the tropics

OK, I know I have said it before but I will be posting to the blog much^2 more frequently from now. There have been a number of reasons for the delay in launching my blog, I will get into that in the coming days.

The tropics are already interesting, currently in the Caribbean there is an area of disturbed weather that the GFS is forming into a tropical storm by late week. Movement is towards the north and by Friday morning the GFS has the system a few hundred miles to the southwest of South Florida.

This will be repeated again and again but everyone has to remember that there are many models used in forecasting, each one with strengths and weaknesses. So if a model or even several models bring a system to a particular area three or more days out it must be taken with a grain of salt. Please do NOT plan on a system to affect South Florida but click back for updates as the week goes on. Since this is hurricane season we should already have our supplies in the event that something does come this way.

I'll be back in the morning for another update.